Parameters and Criteria used in Research Reports and Tables of Companies

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We collect here, on the left, summary explanations of our stock selection, description and recommendation categories. Please search below for your items of interest relating to our Company Sketches and Reports.

To the right are explanations of our stock selection and description categories used in our Midcap Tables, the layout and content of the typical tables, and the basis and use of our RR Midcap Index provided for comparison of performance.

Parameters used in Company Research Reports


Explanations - Portfolios, Ratings, Types, Recommendations

Stock Portfolios and Coverage

We are looking for companies that have already established a sound track record and trajectory of profits, growth and dividends, or for those that are already showing capabilities of building such a record.

While many resource companies might justify inclusion, and some health sciences companies, we lack successful experience in assessing these fields, which often also exhibit a larger risk and ongoing capital needs.

We also tend to exclude most whose base of operations lies outside Australia. This leaves a wide field for investment, some 800 of 1800-odd companies lised on ASX. Of these, however, a large number have small market capitalisation and low and in some cases infrequent trading volume. Meanwhile, the top 100 companies are followed by many analysts and the investor has many sources of guidance.

Russell Research is thus focused on its selected 200-odd mid-tier and smaller companies, with a smattering of larger ones, where we zoom in to study and write sketches or reports on those where we see sound reasons for outperformance. Thus we believe we can match the longer-term investor's objectives.


Portfolios

We classify these midcap industrials into key portfolios or groups :-

  • Best Stocks - Stocks we consider most suitable for the longer-term investor (and these can include larger stocks than our midcap focus).

  • Potent Stocks - Stocks we consider likely to rise into the "Best" category.

We add a third group of stocks with higher risk but high potential -

  • Specs - Stocks with Special Situation or Speculative Interest, mostly smaller.

For comparison and as the breeding ground for our stock selections, we also show tables of our full coverage of industrials, split into -

  • BigCap - Large industrial stocks over $1.5bn in market capitalisation,

  • Midcap - Most industrials between $50m and $1.5bn market capitalisation with reasonable volume of stock trading, and, for comparison, the

  • ASX200 Industrials Index.

The "Midcap" stock list is that on which we run our "Russell Research Midcap Index" to show the performance of the sector against published S&P/ASX Indices, and as a basis for evaluating past performance of our stocks. Aside from a comany's activities and market capitalisation, we also look for reasonable market trading volume.

A stock can be in more than one of these portfolios. Those we consider the 'Best' companies for investment are held in or moved into that group, the second ranking are moved into the 'Potent' portfolio.

Members should not confuse our portfolios with your own. Our 'Best' and 'Potent' portfolios are groupings of stocks we consider have outperforming upside. They also come from a range of industry sectors, again weighted to those we consider likely to outperform. They may overlap one another and hence need to be chosen with risk diversification in mind when selecting them for your own portfolio. As frequently noted in this website, we do not know your particular investment objectives and constraints, so we leave it to you to select those you and your adviser consider most appropriate for your purposes and risk parameters, your preference for high dividend, franking, growth, and the time frame of your investment horizon.


Ratings

We provide ratings on those stocks we know well and like. Our ratings are shown in the tables and reports by playing card symbols, which imply :-

Spades     "Keeps coming up trumps"

Hearts     "We really like it"

Diamonds     "Proven hard performer"

Clubs     "Tough and reliable".

These phrases are only indicative, but you will follow their import.


We may consider a company suitable for a particular type of investment :-

  • Core - may be held as a core portfolio stock for long-term investment

  • Growth - likely to outperforming in growth over the longer term, with some yield

  • Yield - expected to provide solid yield, typically franked, plus growth or stability

  • Spec - considered for its speculative prospects, or as a special situation.


Recommendations

We give recommendations for trading a number of the stocks in our coverage, using the terms :-

  • Strong Buy (could grow at 20% or more in real or market terms)

  • Buy (could grow at ~15% in real or market terms)

  • Accumulate / Add or Outperform (could grow at ~10% in real or market terms)

  • Hold (Market Perform or likely flat performance)

  • Lighten (Slightly Over-priced or less likely to show short-term out-performance)

  • Sell (Better value elsewhere or considered likely to slide in short/medium term).

It would be unlikely that any stock would survive long in our portfolio coverage once it gains the tag 'Sell'. However, we expect to use some of these terms more actively later this year in our emails to Gold Members and Partners as we build up our systems for consistency and fast response in trading advice.

Midcap and Other Tables, Changes to Portfolios

Estimated Prospects for individual Companies within their Portfolio Groups

These are the key tables (see list on Research Index page) in which the companies can be compared, both with one another in their portfolios or across our full coverage.

The tables are updated weekly as to price-related variables, and reviewed on a continuing but spasmodic basis for changes in forward estimates. These reviews particularly occur on full year and half-year results and on new guidance, a merger or business change.

Past Performance of Companies Against Each Other and Indices

These tables are prepared quarterly and show relative price performance, including with related S&P/ASX Indices, and against the Russell Research Midcaps Index.

For these tables we classify our stock coverage in several portfolios or groups :-

  • Best - Stocks we consider most suitable for the longer-term investor and likely to outperform

  • Potent - The next tier, suitable for the longer-term investor with potential upside qualities

  • Specs - Other smaller stocks with Special Situation or Speculative Interest, often those trying to bring a concept or technology to full profitability.

Aside from these selected 'outperformers' we use size groupings. Companies may be drawn mostly from midcap size, many from small cap and some large:

  • Midcap - Most industrials between $250m and $1.5bn market capitalisation

  • SmallCap - Typically between $40m and $250m market capitalisation

  • BigCap - Most of the industrial stocks over $1.5bn in market capitalisation

It would be rare but possible for us to cover 'mini' or 'micro' cap companies.


Portfolio Rebalancing

The portfolio group lists are subject to review at any time in the light of companies' performance.

Rebalancing in the first quarter of calendar 2012

As the 1H12 results were announced, some companies disappointed, others confirmed or enhanced their status. With that and other news, we progressively amended the portfolios of Best, Potent and Spec companies. We also noted some that could be regarded as 'Review', for later inclusion in the Potent portfolio if improvement continues, and many remained, and some were relegated to our 'Watch' category. We do not signal Review or Watch category companies on the website, although some of them may be included in the company sketches, particularly if members have an interest in them.

This portfolio review was completed after 31 March and the new portfolios for the April-June quarter are now shown on the website. The Midcap tables have been amended to show the new portfolios and the new designation is given on individual company sketches.

Portfolio changes effective 31 March 2012

Upgrades to Best Portfolio    -    None

Downgrades from Best to Potent Portfolio    -   

   BKN    -    Bradken

   ENV    -    Envestra

   HDF    -    Hastings Diversified Utilities Fund

   IRE    -    IRESS Market Technology

Downgrades from Best to Review status    -   

   IDL    -    Industrea

Upgrades to Potent Portfolio    -    None

Downgrades from Potent to Review status    -   

   GNC    -    Graincorp

   KMD    -    Kathmandu Holdings

   LDW    -    Ludowici (under takeover)

   RIC    -    Ridley Corporation

   WHG    -    WHK Group

   OKN    -    Oakton

   SSM    -    Service Stream

   LGD    -    Legend Corporation

Raised from Spec to Review status    -   

   DOW    -    Downer EDI

Raised from Watch to Review status    -   

   SUL    -    Super Retail Group

   BRG    -    Breville Group

   SKE    -    Skilled Group

   AMM    -    Amcom Telecommunications

   PRG    -    Programmed Maintenance Services

   SRV    -    Servcorp

   WCB    -    Warrnambool Cheese & Butter Factory Co.

   EGN    -    Engenco

   CLH    -    Collection House

   SWK    -    Swick Mining Services

Downgrades from Potent to Spec Portfolio    -   

   MCE    -    Matrix Composites & Engineering

    ASZ     -    ASG Group

   SHV    -    Select Harvests

Upgrades from Watch to Spec Portfolio    -   

   NXT    -    Nextdc

   MLB    -    Melbourne IT

   BOL    -    Boom Logistics

   CFU    -    Ceramic Fuel Cells

   COF    -    Coffee International

   HHY    -    Hastings High Yield Fund

   MCP    -    McPherson's

   TFC    -    TFS Corporation

   VMG    -    VDM Group

   AZG    -    Allmine Group

   BSA    -    BSA

   CPZ    -    Car Parking Technologies

   QHL    -    Quikstep Holdings

   TAN    -    Tandou

   CWE    -    Carnegie Wave Energy



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